NEW JERSEY 2025

The poll of New Jersey likely voters finds 49% support Democrat Mikie Sherrill and 48% support Republican Jack Ciattarelli for Governor; 2% are undecided. With these undecided voters’ support accounted for, support for Sherrill increases to 50% while Ciattarelli stays at 48%.

“Heading into Election Day, the gender divide in the gubernatorial election has solidified: men break for Ciattarelli by 16 points, while women break for Sherrill by 18 points,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Since last month, Ciattarelli’s lead among men increased by four points, and Sherill’s lead among women grew by eight points.”

Both candidates for Governor have split favorable ratings among likely voters: 47% have a favorable view of Sherrill, while 47% have an unfavorable view of her. Forty-eight percent have a favorable view of Ciattarelli, while 48% have an unfavorable view of him.

Governor Phil Murphy’s approval continues to be underwater: 34% approve of the job he is doing as Governor while 50% disapprove; 16% are neutral. President Donald Trump holds a 45% approval rating, while 53% disapprove of the job he is doing as President.

Among those who approve of Murphy, 97% are voting for Sherrill. Of those who disapprove, 91% plan to support Ciattarelli. Those who are neutral break for Sherrill, 79% to 12%.

A majority of voters (52%) say the economy is the top issue facing the state, while 14% say threats to democracy, 11% housing affordability, 5% immigration policy, and 5% healthcare.

FULL RESULTS