Emerson: Harris and Trump Neck-and-Neck in Key Swing States

 

New Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld surveys in Arizona and North Carolina, finds a too-close-to-call presidential election. In Arizona, 50% support former President Trump while 47% support Vice President Kamala Harris. In North Carolina, 49% support Trump, while 48% support Harris.

Statewide Democratic candidates lead the Republicans in Arizona and North Carolina, outperforming Harris on the ballot. In the Arizona US Senate Election between Democrat Ruben Gallego and Republican Kari Lake, 52% support Gallego, 41% support Lake, and 7% are undecided. In the North Carolina gubernatorial election, Democrat Josh Stein leads Republican Mark Robinson, 52% to 33%, with 12% undecided.

 

Voters were asked which presidential candidate they thought would be better for their personal financial situation. A majority of voters in each state think Trump would be better for their personal finances: 53% to 43% in Arizona, and 51% to 45% in North Carolina.

The top issue for voters is the economy in Arizona (30%) and North Carolina (49%). A majority of voters in the two states feel their economic situation is worse today than it was five years ago, including 60% in both Arizona and North Carolina. Twenty-six percent in Arizona say it is better, 25% in North Carolina say the same.

“Economic situation perception falls along partisan lines: 52% of Democrats in Arizona and 41% in North Carolina feel their economic situation is better than five years ago,” Kimball said. “This compares to majorities of Republicans who say it is worse: 86% in Arizona and 83% in North Carolina. Independents align more with Republicans in saying their situation is worse: 63% in Arizona and 57% in North Carolina.”

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