Emerson Michigan Poll: Trump 49%, Harris 48%

A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld survey of Michigan voters finds 49% support former President Donald Trump, and 48% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Two percent are undecided and 1% plan on voting for a third party.

 

“With one week until Election Day, the race remains a toss-up,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “The survey finds the important voting block of Michigan union household voters breaking for Harris, 55% to 41%, while non-union household members break for Trump, 52% to 46%.”

Voters were asked, regardless of who they support for president, who they expect to win. Half of voters (50%) expect Kamala Harris, while 49% expect Trump to win.

In the US Senate Election, 48% support Democrat Elissa Slotkin, while 46% support Republican Mike Rogers. Six percent are undecided.

“While independent voters slightly break for Trump on the presidential ballot 47% to 45%, in the U.S. Senate race they support Slotkin 49% to 40%,” Kimball noted.

The top issue for Michigan votes is the economy at 48%, followed by immigration (9%), healthcare (9%), threats to democracy (8%), and abortion access (8%),

  • Voters who say the economy is their top issue break for Trump 63% to 33% and immigration 96% to 4%, while voters who find healthcare to be the top issue support Harris 72% to 23%, and threats to democracy 90% to 10%.

Governor Gretchen Whitmer holds a 51% job approval rating, while 42% disapprove of the job she is doing. President Joe Biden holds a 39% job approval, while 53% disapprove of the job he is doing as president.

Forty-nine percent hold a favorable view of Vice President Harris, while 51% have an unfavorable view of Harris. Half (50%) have a favorable view of Trump, while 50% have an unfavorable view of the former president.

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