• Among Trump voters who support him because they “care about an issue,” 45% say the top issue facing Pennsylvania is the economy, and 24% immigration.

With third-party candidates included on the ballot, 44% support Trump, 40% Biden, 5% Robert Kennedy Jr., and 1% support Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively. Eight percent are undecided.

The economy is the top issue for 36% of voters, followed by crime (12%), immigration (11%), threats to democracy (11%), healthcare (9%), education (7%), housing affordability (6%), and abortion access (4%).

In a potential U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey and Republican Dave McCormick, 45% support Casey, and 41% McCormick. Fourteen percent are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, Casey’s overall support increases to 52%, and McCormick to 48%.

• Independent voters break for Casey 42% to 29%, with 29% undecided. With the undecided push, they break for Casey overall over McCormick 57% to 43%.
• About nine percent of Trump voters plan to split their ticket and vote for Casey, compared to 3% of Biden voters who would split their ticket and vote for McCormick.

President Biden holds a 38% job approval among Pennsylvania voters and a 55% job disapproval. Seven percent are neutral. Governor Josh Shapiro holds a 47% job approval and 31% disapproval. Twenty-two percent are neutral.

Pennsylvania voters were asked which presidential candidate they think would do a better job on immigration and border security, abortion access, and the Israel-Hamas war.

• Immigration/border security: 54% Trump, 46% Biden
• Abortion access: 57% Biden, 43% Trump
• Israel-Hamas war: 52% Trump, 48% Biden

Voters were asked if Biden’s age or Trump’s criminal indictments raise doubts in their minds about voting for each candidate in 2024. Biden’s age raises doubts for 58%, while Trump’s indictments raise doubts for 55%. Independents are equally concerned: 61% say Biden’s age and Trump’s indictments raise doubts for voting for each candidate.