Emerson Pennsylvania Poll: Trump 49%, Harris 48%

New Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania polling shows 49% of Keystone State voters support former President Donald Trump, while 48% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Three percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, overall, 51% support Trump and 49% support Harris.

 

“There is a significant age divide among voters: voters under 50 favor Harris, 57% to 39%, while voters over 50 break for Trump, 57% to 41%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said.

Since the last Emerson/RCPA poll in late September, there has been no significant movement, Trump’s support increased a point while Harris stayed at 48%.

A majority of Pennsylvania voters (85%) decided who to support over a month ago, while 7% made up their minds in the past month, 4% in the last week, and another 4% are still undecided.

“Voters who decided over a month ago favor Trump 51% to 47%, while voters who made up their mind within the past month/week lean toward Harris 52% to 45%,” Kimball noted.

In the election for US Senate, 47% support incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, while 46% support Republican David McCormick. Six percent are undecided.

Since the last Emerson/RCPA poll in late September, Casey’s support held at 47% while McCormick’s support increased one point.

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro has a 48% job approval rating, with 48% disapproving of his performance and 24% remaining neutral. President Joe Biden holds a 37% job approval rating, with 55% disapproving, and 8% neutral.

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