Monmouth Poll: Trump Job Rating Down

The night before his impeachment acquital in the senate, Trump delivered a speech that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi would rip in half immediately after his delivery.

Public confidence in the federal response to the coronavirus outbreak has dipped and most Americans say that Washington is not doing enough to help the states hit hard by this pandemic. The Monmouth (“Mon-muth”University Poll finds that the nation’s governors continue to earn praise for their response to the pandemic, while approval of President Donald Trump’s actions has dropped.  The poll also finds that Dr. Anthony Fauci is the most widely trusted face in the government’s response to the COVID-19 outbreak, but pockets of the public remain skeptical of the extent of the emergency.

Americans have become less satisfied with actions taken by the federal government to slow the spread of the virus over the past few weeks. A majority (54%) say the federal measures have not gone far enough (up from 45% who said the same in late March). Another 35% say these measures have been appropriate (down from 47%) and 7% say they have gone too far (similar to 6% last month).

A majority of the public is at least somewhat confident that the country will be able to limit the outbreak’s impact over the next few weeks, but this confidence has dropped since last month. Currently, 15% are very confident (down from 25%) and 38% are somewhat confident (similar to 37% in March).  Another 24% are not too confident (up from 21%) and 21% are not at all confident (up from 15%).

By contrast, most Americans are satisfied with the actions taken by state government. Six in ten (60%) say the steps taken by their individual states have been appropriate, while just 30% say they have not gone far enough, and 8% say they have gone too far. These results are nearly identical to last month’s poll (62% appropriate, 25% not far enough, 9% too far).

A majority of the public (55%) say that the federal government is not doing enough to help states that have been hit hard by the outbreak. Just 37% say that Washington has done enough and 3% say it has done too much to help these states.

“Most Americans disagree with the Trump administration’s position that the federal government is a backup to the states. The public seems to view this as a national crisis that requires a national response on par with the aggressive approach taken by the states,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

            State governors (72% good job to 21% bad job) and health agencies in the federal government (66% to 25%) continue to earn the highest praise for the way they have been dealing with the outbreak. Public opinion for these two groups is similar to last month’s Monmouth poll (72% to 18% for governors and 65% to 24% for federal health agencies). Public praise for the nation’s governors remains bipartisan with 74% of Democrats, 71% of Republicans, and 70% of independents saying their governor has done a good job dealing with the situation.

            Americans have become more negative on the president’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak, with 46% saying he has done a good job and 49% saying he has done a bad job. Just over two weeks ago, he received marginally positive reviews of 50% good job and 45% bad job. Those saying he has done a good job range from 87% of Republicans to 45% of independents and just 16% of Democrats.  Trump’s overall job rating has also ticked down, now standing at 44% approve and 49% disapprove. Last month he earned a 46% to 48% rating, but his current numbers look more like his 44% to 50% rating in February.  It is important to note that the differences in Trump’s job rating from February to March to April are all within the survey sample margin of error.

            Negative opinion of how Congress has handled the outbreak has grown since last month. Currently, 41% say Congress has done a good job and 45% say it has done a bad job. Last month, these ratings were 42% good job and 37% bad job. Still, the overall job rating for Congress has improved since before the outbreak.  It now stands at 32% approve and 55% disapprove. It was 20% approve and 69% disapprove in February.

The poll finds that public opinion on the media reporting about the outbreak has improved somewhat since last month. It now stands at 48% good job and 42% bad job compared with 45% good job and 43% bad job in March. The worst reviews from poll respondents for dealing with the pandemic continue to be directed at their fellow citizens – 38% say the American public has done a good job dealing with the outbreak but 48% say it has done a bad job.  This compares with the 38% good job and 45% bad job rating the American public earned last month.

            When asked whom they trust the most among the public officials who appear on TV talking about the COVID-19 outbreak, more than 1 in 3 (35%) Americans name Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. The next most frequently cited officials are New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (23%) and Trump (20%). Other trusted officials are Dr. Deborah Birx of the White House Coronavirus Task Force (14%), U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams (11%), and Vice President Mike Pence (10%). Other individual state governors are named by 14% of the public as officials they trust the most to talk about the pandemic.

“Dr. Fauci was known to very few Americans at the beginning of this year. The fact that one-third now look to him as the most trusted voice in Washington speaks to the public’s desire for a reliable authority figure in this crisis,” said Murray.  He added, “New York’s governor has emerged as a national voice during this crisis. In fact, the nation’s governors as a whole tend to earn more trust than the White House when it comes to dealing with this crisis.”

            When asked to choose between their state’s governor and the president, 43% of Americans say they trust the COVID-19 information provided by their governor more while just 15% say they trust Trump more. Another 29% say they trust both the president and their governor equally and 12% say they trust neither person. In states with Democratic governors, 50% trust their governor more, 19% trust Trump more, 21% trust both equally and 9% trust neither. In states with Republican governors, 34% trust their governor more, 9% trust Trump more, 40% trust both equally and 16% trust neither.

Among Republicans in states with Republican governors, 26% trust Trump more, 11% trust their governor more, and 61% trust both equally. Among Republicans in states with Democratic governors, 44% trust Trump more, 15% trust their governor more, and 36% trust both equally. Most Democrats trust their governor more than Trump regardless of their governor’s political party, although 25% of Democrats who live in states with Republican governors say they trust neither the president nor their governor when it comes to providing information on the coronavirus outbreak.

The poll finds pockets of disagreement on the extent of the health crisis. This includes 34% who say that estimates that 200,000 Americans might die from the virus are being overstated, 23% who say that only the elderly or those with underlying health problems are at risk of getting seriously ill, and 20% who say reports about hospitals lacking needed medical supplies have been exaggerated. Republicans are more likely to agree with each of these statements while Democrats are the least likely.

Currently, 30% of the public says the country is headed in the right direction while 61% says it is on the wrong track. This is more negative than late last month (39% to 54%) as well as in February before concern about the pandemic became widespread (37% to 57%).

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from April 3 to 7, 2020 with 857 adults in the United States.  The question results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS     

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

 

1.      Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

  TREND:

April
2020

March
2020

Feb.
2020

Jan.
2020

Dec.
2019

Nov.
2019

Sept.
2019

Aug.
2019

June
2019

May
2019

April 2019

March 2019

Jan.
2019

Approve

44%

46%

44%

43%

43%

43%

41%

40%

41%

40%

40%

44%

41%

Disapprove

49%

48%

50%

52%

50%

51%

53%

53%

50%

52%

54%

51%

54%

(VOL) No opinion

6%

6%

5%

5%

8%

6%

6%

7%

9%

8%

6%

5%

5%

(n)

(857)

(851)

(902)

(903)

(903)

(908)

(1,161)

(800)

(751)

(802)

(801)

(802)

(805)

  TREND:

Continued

Nov.
2018

Aug.
2018

June
2018

April
2018

March
2018

Jan.
2018

Dec.
2017

Sept.
2017

Aug.
2017

July
2017

May
2017

March
2017

Approve

43%

43%

43%

41%

39%

42%

32%

40%

41%

39%

39%

43%

Disapprove

49%

50%

46%

50%

54%

50%

56%

49%

49%

52%

53%

46%

(VOL) No opinion

8%

7%

11%

9%

8%

8%

12%

11%

10%

9%

8%

11%

(n)

(802)

(805)

(806)

(803)

(803)

(806)

(806)

(1,009)

(805)

(800)

(1,002)

(801)

2.      Do you approve or disapprove of the job the U.S. Congress is doing?

  TREND:

April
2020

Feb.
2020

Jan.
2020

Dec.
2019

Nov.
2019

Sept.
2019

Aug.
2019

June
2019

May
2019

April
2019

March
2019

Jan.
2019

Approve

32%

20%

24%

22%

23%

21%

17%

19%

20%

24%

23%

18%

Disapprove

55%

69%

62%

65%

64%

68%

71%

69%

71%

62%

68%

72%

(VOL) No opinion

13%

11%

14%

13%

13%

11%

13%

12%

9%

14%

9%

10%

(n)

(857)

(902)

(903)

(903)

(908)

(1,161)

(800)

(751)

(802)

(801)

(802)

(805)

  TREND: Continued

Nov.
2018

Aug.
2018

June
2018

April
2018

March
2018

Jan.
2018

Dec.
2017

Sept.
2017

Aug.
2017

July
2017

May
2017

March
2017

Jan.
2017

Approve

23%

17%

19%

17%

18%

21%

16%

17%

18%

19%

19%

25%

23%

Disapprove

63%

69%

67%

71%

72%

68%

65%

69%

69%

70%

68%

59%

66%

(VOL) No opinion

14%

14%

14%

12%

11%

11%

19%

15%

13%

11%

13%

16%

11%

(n)

(802)

(805)

(806)

(803)

(803)

(806)

(806)

(1,009)

(805)

(800)

(1,002)

(801)

(801)

  TREND: Continued

Sept.
2016*

Aug.
2016*

June
2016*

March
2016

Jan.
2016

Dec.
2015

Oct.
2015

Sept.
2015

Aug.
2015

July
2015

June
2015

April
2015

Jan.
2015

Dec.
2014

July
2013

Approve

15%

14%

17%

22%

17%

16%

17%

19%

18%

18%

19%

21%

18%

17%

14%

Disapprove

77%

78%

76%

68%

73%

73%

71%

71%

72%

69%

71%

67%

70%

73%

76%

(VOL) No opinion

8%

9%

7%

10%

10%

10%

12%

11%

11%

12%

10%

12%

11%

11%

10%

(n)

(802)

(803)

(803)

(1,008)

(1,003)

(1,006)

(1,012)

(1,009)

(1,203)

(1,001)

(1,002)

(1,005)

(1,003)

(1,008)

(1,012)

* Registered voters

3.      Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track?

  TREND:

April
2020

March
2020

Feb.
2020

Jan.
2020

Dec.
2019

Nov.
2019

Sept.
2019

Aug.
2019

June
2019

May
2019

April
2019

March
2019

Right direction

30%

39%

37%

37%

32%

30%

30%

28%

31%

29%

28%

29%

Wrong track

61%

54%

57%

56%

56%

61%

61%

62%

62%

63%

62%

63%

(VOL) Depends

5%

4%

6%

6%

8%

7%

6%

8%

6%

4%

7%

6%

(VOL) Don’t know

5%

3%

1%

1%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

(n)

(857)

(851)

(902)

(903)

(903)

(908)

(1,161)

(800)

(751)

(802)

(801)

(802)

  TREND: Continued

Nov.
2018

Aug.
2018

June
2018

April
2018

March
2018

Jan.
2018

Dec.
2017

Aug.
2017

May
2017

March
2017

Jan.
2017

Right direction

35%

35%

40%

33%

31%

37%

24%

32%

31%

35%

29%

Wrong track

55%

57%

53%

58%

61%

57%

66%

58%

61%

56%

65%

(VOL) Depends

7%

6%

3%

5%

6%

3%

7%

4%

5%

4%

4%

(VOL) Don’t know

3%

3%

3%

4%

1%

3%

3%

5%

3%

5%

2%

(n)

(802)

(805)

(806)

(803)

(803)

(806)

(806)

(805)

(1,002)

(801)

(801)

  TREND: Continued

Aug.
2016*

Oct.
2015

July
2015

June
2015

April
2015

Dec.
2014

July
2013

Right direction

30%

24%

28%

23%

27%

23%

28%

Wrong track

65%

66%

63%

68%

66%

69%

63%

(VOL) Depends

2%

6%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

(VOL) Don’t know

3%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

(n)

(803)

(1,012)

(1,001)

(1,002)

(1,005)

(1,008)

(1,012)

      * Registered voters

[Q4-6 held for future release.]

7.      How confident are you that the country will be able to limit the impact of the outbreak over the next few weeks – very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

     TREND:

April
2020

March
2020

  Very confident

15%

25%

  Somewhat confident

38%

37%

  Not too confident

24%

21%

  Not at all confident

21%

15%

  (VOL) Don’t know

2%

2%

(n)

(857)

(851)

[QUESTIONS 8 & 9 WERE ROTATED]

8.      Have the measures taken by the federal government to slow the spread of the virus been appropriate, have they gone too far, or have they not gone far enough?

     TREND:

April
2020

March
2020

  Appropriate

35%

47%

  Gone too far

7%

6%

  Not gone far enough

54%

45%

  (VOL) Don’t know

3%

2%

(n)

(857)

(851)

9.      Have the measures taken by your state government to slow the spread of the virus been appropriate, have they gone too far, or have they not gone far enough?

     TREND:

April
2020

March
2020

  Appropriate

60%

62%

  Gone too far

8%

9%

  Not gone far enough

30%

25%

  (VOL) Don’t know

2%

4%

(n)

(857)

(851)

10.    Please tell me if each of the following has done a good job or bad job dealing with the coronavirus outbreak. [ITEMS WERE ROTATED]

 

    TREND:

Good

Job

Bad

Job

(VOL) Mixed, depends

(VOL) Don’t know

(n)

Health agencies in the federal  government

66%

25%

4%

4%

(857)

   — March 2020

65%

24%

8%

4%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

President Trump

46%

49%

3%

1%

(857)

   — March 2020

50%

45%

3%

1%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Your state’s governor

72%

21%

4%

3%

(857)

   — March 2020

72%

18%

4%

6%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

The media reporting about the outbreak

48%

42%

8%

2%

(857)

   — March 2020

45%

43%

10%

3%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

The American public

38%

48%

12%

2%

(857)

   — March 2020

38%

45%

14%

3%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Congress

41%

45%

9%

5%

(857)

   — March 2020

42%

37%

10%

10%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Note: Question 10X was only asked 4/4-4/7; n=675, m.o.e. = +/- 3.8%]

10X.  Is the federal government doing the right amount, too much, or not enough to help states that have been hit hard by the outbreak?

April
2020

  Right amount

37%

  Too much

3%

  Not enough

55%

  (VOL) Don’t know

5%

(n)

(675)

11.    A number of public officials and elected leaders have appeared on TV to talk about the coronavirus or COVID outbreak.  Which ones do you trust the most? [LIST WAS NOT READ]  [Note: Results add to more than 100% because multiple responses were accepted]

April
2020

  President Donald Trump

20%

  Vice President Mike Pence

10%

  Dr. Anthony Fauci

35%

  Dr. Deborah Birx

14%

  Surgeon General Jerome Adams

11%

  NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo

23%

  CA Gov. Gavin Newsom

3%

  NJ Gov. Phil Murphy

1%

  Other governors

10%

  Speaker Nancy Pelosi

1%

  Other

14%

  No one

15%

  Don’t know

14%

(n)

(857)

12.    Who do you trust more when it comes to providing information about the coronavirus outbreak – President Trump or your state’s governor, or do you trust both equally?

April
2020

  President Trump

15%

  State’s governor

43%

  Both equally

29%

  (VOL) Neither

12%

  (VOL) Don’t know

1%

(n)

(857)

13.    I am going to read some statements about the coronavirus outbreak. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each. [ITEMS WERE ROTATED]

Agree

Disagree

(VOL) Mixed, depends

(VOL) Don’t know

(n)

Reports about hospitals lacking needed medical supplies have been exaggerated

20%

75%

2%

3%

(857)

 

 

 

 

 

Only the elderly or those with underlying health problems are at risk of getting seriously ill from the coronavirus

23%

74%

2%

1%

(857)

 

 

 

 

 

Estimates that 200,000 Americans might die from the virus are being overstated

34%

59%

3%

4%

(857)

 

 

 

 

 

[Q14-34 held for future release.]

 

METHODOLOGY

The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from April 3 to 7, 2020 with a national random sample of 857 adults age 18 and older. This includes 345 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 512 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English. Telephone numbers were selected through random digit dialing and landline respondents were selected with a modified Troldahl-Carter youngest adult household screen. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The full sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information (CPS 2018 supplement). Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and Dynata (RDD sample). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)

Self-Reported

25% Republican

42% Independent

34% Democrat

 

49% Male

51% Female

 

30% 18-34

33% 35-54

37% 55+

 

64% White

12% Black

16% Hispanic

  8% Asian/Other

 

68% No degree

32% 4 year degree

 

MARGIN OF ERROR

unweighted  sample

moe
(+/-)

TOTAL

 

857

3.4%

REGISTERED VOTER

Yes

743

3.6%

No

114

9.2%

SELF-REPORTED PARTY ID

Republican

204

6.9%

Independent

334

5.4%

Democrat

308

5.6%

IDEOLOGY

Liberal

204

6.9%

Moderate

376

5.1%

Conservative

250

6.2%

GENDER

Male

413

4.8%

Female

444

4.7%

AGE

18-34

177

7.4%

35-54

321

5.5%

55+

352

5.2%

CHILDREN IN HOME

Yes

237

6.4%

No

615

4.0%

RACE

White, non-Hispanic

596

4.0%

Other

235

6.4%

COLLEGE GRADUATE

No degree

422

4.8%

4 year degree

427

4.8%

WHITE COLLEGE

White, no degree

287

5.8%

White, 4 year degree

305

5.6%

INCOME

<$50K

270

6.0%

$50 to <100K

259

6.1%

$100K+

265

6.0%

###

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