In a crucial move late Saturday, Senate Republicans advanced President Donald Trump's sweeping tax and spending bill, bringing him closer to his promised "big, beautiful" legislative victory. However, the measure still faces significant challenges before becoming law.

The vote-a-rama is currently ongoing in the Senate, and if it clears that floor it will then return to the House for final approval.

Trump aims to sign the bill by July 4, and the odds suggest that will occur.

BetOnline.ag has placed the chances of the BBB passing before the Fourth of July at -300, or 1/3. That number equates to a 75% implied probability.

Will Trump's Big Beautiful Bill Pass by July 4, 2025?

Yes       1/3       (-300)

No        2/1       (+200)

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U.S. Congress odds can be seen here: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/us-election/congress-specials