A Greenlen Quinlan Rosner survey for the LD11 state Senate contest shows a real fight for the seat currently occupied by state Senator Jennifer Beck (R-11). According to the July survey, Beck starts the race leading Democratic challenger Vin Gopal, 41 percent – 52 percent – that’s prior to a fall money dump against her by the Democrat with statewide alliances.

“Gopal’s compelling profile and Beck’s vulnerabilities draw the race to a virtual tie by the end of the survey, 45 percent to 43 percent,” the survey finds.

Partisan measures including the generic ballot (46 percent Democratic – 43 percent Republican) and self-identified partisanship (45 percent Democratic – 43 percent Republican) also point to a competitive race in a district Hillary Clinton won by 7 points. Governor Chris Christie’s job approval rating has the potential to drag down Beck; just 16 percent of voters rate his performance as excellent or good, the survey finds.

“Though the election is still a ways off, Beck’s vulnerabilities in a district that no longer tilts Republican put her seat in jeopardy in November,” according to the survey of 400 likely 2017 General Election voters in New Jersey’s 11th Legislative District from July 17 – 19, 2017.

The survey had a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.

A link to the polling memo is below:

NJ LD 11 Senate Public Release Draft (2)