Emerson Pa. Poll: Trump 48%, Harris 48%

 

A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania survey finds 48% of voters support former President Donald Trump and 48% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Half of voters (50%) expect Harris to win, while 49% expect Trump to win.

The Pennsylvania US Senate election is also close: 47% support incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey, while 45% support Republican David McCormick; 8% are undecided.

Donald Trump
“Casey leads among voters under 50, 53% to 37%, while McCormick leads the 50 and over vote: 51% to 43%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted. “Women break for Casey by 11 points, 52% to 41%, while men break for McCormick by eight points, 50% to 42%.”

Voters were asked which presidential candidate they thought would be better for their personal financial situation. A majority of voters (51%) think Trump is the better candidate, while 44% think Harris is the better candidate for their financial situation in Pennsylvania.

  • Democrats think Harris is better for their personal finances, 86% to 10%, Republicans think Trump is better, 91% to 6%, and independents break for Trump, 50% to 38%

The top issue for voters is the economy (50%). Sixty-percent of voters feel their economic situation is worse today than it was five years ago, while 22% feel it is better, 18% say it is no different.

  • A plurality of Democrats (39%) think their situation is better, 32% worse, and 29% no different. A majority of Republicans (84%) think it is worse, along with a majority of independents (65%).

On the issue of fracking, 50% trust Trump more to handle the issue, while 39% trust Harris more. Eleven percent trust neither candidate.

Governor Josh Shapiro holds a 47% approval rating, while 35% disapprove of the job he is doing as Governor. Thirty-five percent disapprove of Shapiro, and 18% are neutral.

President Biden holds a 38% job approval, while 54% disapprove of the job he is doing, and 8% are neutral.

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