“Biden has lost some support in the Democratic caucus, with a large number of voters being undecided,” Kimball said. “Young voters and women voters are two groups who have lower support for Biden than their counterparts: only 38% of Democratic voters under 30 support Biden in a caucus, and 41% of women are undecided.” lost some support in Iowa, it does not appear that any other candidate has been able to emerge as a clear alternative. Republicans saw DeSantis fall back into the pack, as the vote splintered amongst a crowded field, and Kennedy and Williamson have failed to gain traction in Iowa.” A third of Iowa voters (33%) approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president, while 54% disapprove of his performance in the Oval Office. Since May, Biden’s approval has decreased two points while his disapproval has remained steady at 54%. Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds holds a 43% approval rating, while 41% disapprove of the job she is doing in office. In a hypothetical presidential matchup between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, Trump leads among Iowa voters 50% to 39%, with 11% undecided. This has remained relatively unchanged since the May poll, when Trump also held an 11-point lead. In a hypothetical ballot with Trump, Biden, and Green Party candidate Cornel West, Trump holds 48% support, Biden with 35%, and West pulls 5%. The share of undecided voters with West on the ballot increases to 13%. Sixty-four percent of respondents say they will definitely vote for the candidate on the 2024 ballot they chose, while 35% say there is a chance they could change their mind and vote for someone else. “A third-party candidate on the ballot changes the dynamic of the race by pulling votes from both sides,” Kimball said. “However, West’s voters are more willing to change their minds than Trump and Biden voters: 72% of West voters say they might vote for another candidate, compared to about two-thirds of Biden and Trump voters who plan on sticking with them.” The economy remains the top issue for a plurality (37%) of Iowa voters, followed by healthcare (14%), education (12%), “threats to democracy” (9%), abortion access (6%), housing affordability (6%), and immigration (5%). Since May, concern for the economy has increased by six points, concern about education has decreased by three, and “threats to democracy” has decreased by six points. Voters were asked which of the following statements comes closest to their view on abortion law in Iowa: a ban on abortion at all times, a ban after six weeks of pregnancy, 20 weeks of pregnancy, or there should not be bans on abortion. Thirty-six percent of voters think there should not be bans on abortion, while 24% think there should be a ban on abortion at all times, and 20% think there should be a ban after six weeks and 20 weeks respectively. Regarding the drought in Iowa, 49% of voters have personally experienced the impact of drought in the past year, while 51% have not.
Kimball continued, “While both Biden and Trump have