Most readers of this site are political junkies 365 days a year, not just Election Day. Who better to ask than you guys for some Election Day predictions?!! No one went too far off the ledge so if there’s crow to be had, it won’t be much. By the end of the day, we’ll know who’s prescient and who’s just wishful thinking.
JOSHUA HENNE, progressive communications wiz. “Unfortunately for Kim Guadagno, it’s not her name on the ballot. It’s Chris Christie and Donald Trump. And tomorrow night is the last page of a long culmination of a brilliantly executed three-year playbook by soon-to-be-Governor Phil Murphy. Also, as a harbinger of things to come, if any out-of-left-field legislative districts flip an Assembly or Senate then say hello to Speaker Pelosi come January 2019”
SCOTT RUDDER, chair NJ Cannabusiness Association/former GOP lawmaker, “No matter who wins today, we will see cannabis decriminalized and medical cannabis more accessible. This happens in either a Guadagno or Murphy Administration. And that’s a good thing. That being said, if Murphy wins, we expect to see a more aggressive approach towards correcting unjust cannabis laws. The expansion into the adult-use cannabis market will create tens of thousands of new jobs and help accelerate our economic recovery.”
JIM McGREEVY, former NJ Governor. “New Jersey reasserts true blue status; NJ as an alternate policy laboratory to DC as to training and education, jobs and the economy.”
ARLENE QUINONES PEREZ , chair Hundedon County Democrats. “Low voter turnout. Phil Murphy between 9-12%. One LD39 D wins. In LD 16, two Assembly D wins but by small numbers may not be called until Wednesday.”
JOEY NOVICK, ACLU NJ/Former Flemington Councilman. “Phil Murphy by 6 to 8 points. Democrats pick up one senate seat; 2-3 in the assembly. Jon Bramnick continues to do a great job as Minority Leader by increasing his minority. Lots of local surprises in red counties. And Jay Lassiter continues to write clever and entertaining columns for InsiderNJ after Election Day.”
LYNDA HINKLE, Camden County Democratic Committee. “A Phil Murphy win is a win for legalization of cannabis which means a new revenue stream for the state. But I think Kim Guadagno comes closer than originally expected despite many in her party working against her or at least not for her.
ALEX LAW, former Congressional candidate/anti-machine liberal. “As a huge believer in good old fashioned grassroots door knocking, I’ve been thrilled to see the Murphy campaign send thousands of people out to talk to voters one on one all across the state. I think his resoundingly progressive platform and his grassroots execution will carry him to a convincing victory.”
LOU MAGAZZU, former Cumberland Freeholder. “Bob Andrzejczak and Robert Bruce Land will win by historic margins for anyone not named Van Drew. They have done a great job as Assemblyman and candidates and the voters will reward them today.”
CHRISTIAN FUSCARINO, chair Garden State Equality. “We trust that Phil Murphy, Sheila Oliver, Vin Gopal, and all the candidates that stand for equality and justice will trump their opponents by a landslide, sending a resounding message of hope across the nation.”
JEANETTE HOFFMAN-HENNE, GOP TV pundit, “The absurd amount of money being spent in the third legislative district on NJEA’s grudge-match against Senate President Sweeney means that Democrats will lose competitive Senate races in the battlegrounds of LD2 and LD11. Both Jen Beck and Chris Brown will win in districts where Democrats outnumber Republicans.”
KATHY O’LEARY, Longhill Residents for Responsible Development. “NJ American Water (sent) two executives to a train station in Long Hill because they’re not confident about today’s vote on Local Question 1- the sale of the municipality’s sewer system.”
BRANDON MCKOY Deputy Chapter Director of New Leaders Council – NJ “I sincerely hope that the predictions of low voter turnout don’t materialize. Everyone should exercise their part in determining the future of our great state.”
BRIAN EVERETT, BlueJersey. “It’s safe to predict that in Cherry Hill Township, a political outsider will win a seat on the seldom talked about public school board. Fredrick Dande holds the top ballot line and will likely receive more votes than normal because of his positioning on the ballot.”
Brian came last because he highlights an unfortunate feature of New Jersey politics: it’s all about the line and who controls that line. Sometimes it’s luck of the draw. But much more often, local parties/machines have a stranglehold on all that. Which frankly makes Election Day a heckuva lot less dramatic than it should be.
Jay Lassiter is a long-suffering political gadfly. He aspires to lead NJ’s medical marijuana program in a Murphy- or Guadagno administration and make it the best in America!