Monmouth Univ Poll – NATIONAL: Majority Back Vaccine, Mask Mandates

This includes requiring Covid vaccines for health care workers (63%), federal employees (58%), and private contractors working for the federal government (55%). The poll also finds majority support (60%) for requiring teachers and school staff to be vaccinated. Half (51%) of the American public supports a vaccine mandate for school students aged 12 and older. The blue state/red state difference in support for any of these mandates is no larger than 5 points (e.g. 65% blue state and 60% red state for health care workers). Both types of states show majority support for all of these mandates except in the case of school children (53% in blue states, but just 48% in red states).

The poll also finds that a majority of Americans (59%) support requiring people to show proof of Covid vaccination in order to fly on a plane. Smaller majorities support the same requirement for going to an indoor arena for a sporting event or concert (55%) and going to an office or work setting around other people (53%). There is slightly less support for requiring vaccine proof to go to a gym (50%), dine inside a restaurant (46%), or attend an event at an outdoor arena (46%). The blue state and red state support numbers for providing proof of vaccination differ by no more than 2 points in any of these cases. Nearly all unvaccinated Americans oppose having to show Covid vaccine proof to enter any of these venues, and they are joined by a minority of those who have been vaccinated themselves. This ranges from 24% of vaccinated people who oppose having to show vaccine proof to fly on a plane to 39% who oppose having to show proof to go to an outdoor arena.

            “The delta variant has dampened public confidence that we will get clear of this pandemic. That’s probably playing a role in broad support for mandates and other measures,” said Murray.

Just 11% of the public believes that the country will get the outbreak under control by the end of the year. This marks a steep decline in optimism since March, when 61% felt that things would start returning to normal by year’s end. At the other end of the spectrum, 22% of Americans feel that we will never get Covid under control and return to normal. Just 9% felt this way six months ago.

Just under half (45%) of American adults are very concerned about a family member becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus. This number has been on the rise since hitting a pandemic-era low of 23% in June. The high point for this metric was 60% in January. The current result approaches the level measured last September (47% very concerned).  Among those who have received or are about to receive the Covid vaccine, 52% are very concerned, but just 21% of those who are waiting or are opposed to getting the vaccine feel the same level of concern about serious illness in their family.

Currently, 75% of those polled report receiving at least one dose of Covid vaccine and 2% say they will get it as soon as possible. A majority of American adults (51%) say they are very likely to get a Covid booster shot if it is made available and another 16% are somewhat likely.

The poll continues to find a sizable amount of anti-vax sentiment. This includes 6% of the public who say they are still waiting to see how it goes before getting an initial Covid shot, 15% who will not get the vaccine at all if they can avoid it, and 2% who give no answer on their vaccination intent. In prior polls, there were clear demographic differences between the wait-and-see group and the opposed group. Now that both groups have shrunk in size, they are looking much more similar in terms of their opposition to most pandemic containment measures. Among the nearly 1 in 4 who show anti-vaccine attitudes, 72% describe themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party.

“In prior polls we made a distinction between those who are vaccine-hesitant and those who are opposed. These results suggest that distinction has largely vanished and about a quarter of the adult population remains unlikely to get the vaccine without some sort of mandate,” said Murray. He added, “I think it’s possible some of the anti-vax people we poll do not answer the intent question honestly because more and more Americans disapprove of their stance as the pandemic continues to rage.”

Just 23% of those polled say the American public is doing a good job dealing with the coronavirus outbreak while 65% say it is doing a bad job. This is the most negative rating Monmouth poll participants have given to their fellow Americans since the pandemic started in March 2020.  The prior low point was in August 2020 (26% good job) while the high point was in May 2020 (51% good job).

In other findings, a majority of Americans continue to give President Biden positive reviews for his handling of the pandemic, but that number has declined to 52%, from 55% in July and a high of 62% in April. Currently, 43% say Biden is doing a bad job on Covid.

“Biden’s handling of the pandemic was a strength during his first months in office. Public sentiment is not quite so rosy now, but most back his recent moves. We’ll see if the results bring about an improvement in his ratings,” said Murray.

Health agencies in the federal government generally receive positive ratings, although that sentiment is weaker than a couple of months ago. Currently, 52% say federal health agencies have done a good job, which is down from 57% in July. This number has ranged from 46% (August 2020) to 66% (April 2020). At the same time, most Americans (61%) say these agencies, such as the CDC, have been giving mixed messages about Covid risks, while just 36% say these agencies have been largely consistent in their messaging – a result which is nearly identical to two months ago.

The public continues to give positive marks for how their state governors have handled Covid –  56% say they have done a good job, which is comparable to polls in July (54%) and June (58%). More than half of residents in states that Biden won (58%) as well as states that Trump won (53%) say their governor has done a good job dealing with the pandemic.

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 9 to 13, 2021 with 802 adults in the United States.  The question results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

 

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS     

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

[Q1-25 held for future release.]

26.   How concerned are you about someone in your family becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus outbreak – very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned?

     TREND:

Sept.
2021

July
2021

June
2021

March
2021

Jan.
2021

Nov.
2020

Early

Sept.
2020

Aug.
2020

Late

June
2020

Early

June
2020

May
2020

April
2020

March
2020

  Very concerned

45%

30%

23%

40%

60%

50%

47%

41%

41%

37%

42%

50%

38%

  Somewhat concerned

24%

23%

19%

28%

19%

25%

27%

28%

26%

32%

28%

33%

32%

  Not too concerned

17%

21%

24%

14%

12%

13%

13%

18%

17%

14%

14%

9%

18%

  Not at all concerned

12%

24%

32%

16%

7%

10%

12%

13%

15%

16%

16%

7%

12%

  (VOL) Don’t know

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

  (VOL) Has already happened

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

n/a

(n)

(802)

(804)

(810)

(802)

(809)

(810)

(867)

(868)

(867)

(807)

(808)

(857)

(851)

27.   Please tell me if each of the following has done a good job or bad job dealing with the coronavirus outbreak. [ITEMS WERE ROTATED]

       TREND:

Good

Job

Bad

Job

(VOL) Mixed, depends

(VOL) Don’t know

(n)

President Biden

52%

43%

4%

1%

(802)

   — July 2021

55%

38%

4%

3%

(804)

   — June 2021

59%

32%

4%

5%

(810)

   — April 2021

62%

31%

3%

3%

(800)

   — March 2021

57%

31%

3%

8%

(802)

   — January 2021

58%

23%

5%

15%

(809)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Your state’s governor

56%

38%

3%

3%

(802)

   — July 2021

54%

42%

3%

2%

(804)

   — June 2021

58%

33%

5%

4%

(810)

   — April 2021

62%

34%

3%

2%

(800)

   — March 2021

56%

38%

3%

2%

(802)

   — January 2021

57%

38%

3%

2%

(809)

   — Early September 2020

61%

35%

3%

1%

(867)

   — August 2020

57%

35%

5%

3%

(868)

   — Late June 2020

65%

28%

5%

2%

(867)

   — Early June 2020

67%

28%

3%

1%

(807)

   — May 2020

73%

22%

3%

2%

(808)

   — April 2020

72%

21%

4%

3%

(857)

   — March 2020

72%

18%

4%

6%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

The American public

23%

65%

10%

2%

(802)

   — July 2021

32%

51%

12%

5%

(804)

   — June 2021

42%

40%

14%

4%

(810)

   — April 2021

43%

44%

10%

4%

(800)

   — March 2021

35%

53%

11%

1%

(802)

   — January 2021

32%

60%

6%

2%

(809)

   — Early September 2020

31%

57%

10%

2%

(867)

   — August 2020

26%

62%

11%

1%

(868)

   — Late June 2020

28%

59%

11%

3%

(867)

   — Early June 2020

46%

43%

8%

2%

(807)

   — May 2020

51%

33%

13%

2%

(808)

   — April 2020

38%

48%

12%

2%

(857)

   — March 2020

38%

45%

14%

3%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Health agencies in the federal government

52%

38%

6%

3%

(802)

   — July 2021

57%

33%

7%

3%

(804)

   — June 2021

55%

33%

6%

5%

(810)

   — April 2021

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

   — March 2021

50%

37%

8%

5%

(802)

   — January 2021

52%

40%

6%

3%

(809)

   — Early September 2020

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

   — August 2020

46%

43%

6%

4%

(868)

   — Late June 2020

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

   — Early June 2020

57%

34%

5%

3%

(807)

   — May 2020

63%

25%

7%

4%

(808)

   — April 2020

66%

25%

4%

4%

(857)

   — March 2020

65%

24%

8%

4%

(851)

 

 

 

 

 

 

28.   When do you think the country will get the outbreak under control and be able to return to normal – in the next month or two, by the end of the year, sometime next year, later than that, or never?

Sept.
2021

In the next month or two

3%

By the end of the year

8%

Sometime next year

34%

Later than that

28%

Never

22%

(VOL) Don’t know

4%

(n)

(802)

29.   Would you say that federal health agencies, like the C.D.C., have been largely consistent in the messages they have been giving about Covid risks or have they been giving mixed messages about Covid risks?

    TREND:

Sept.
2021

July
2021

Largely consistent

36%

39%

Mixed messages

61%

59%

(VOL) Don’t know

3%

3%

(n)

(802)

(804)

30.   Have you received at least one dose of Covid vaccine, or not? [If NOT:] Do you plan to get the Covid vaccine as soon as possible, will you continue to let other people get it first to see how it goes, or is it likely you will never get the vaccine if you can avoid it?

    TREND:

Sept.
2021

July
2021

June
2021

April
2021

March
2021

Jan.
2021

Already received vaccine

75%

68%

66%

51%

  16%*

  6%*

As soon as possible

2%

2%

2%

14%

38%

50%

See how it goes

6%

9%

9%

12%

21%

19%

Likely will never get vaccine

15%

17%

21%

21%

24%

24%

(VOL) Don’t know

2%

4%

2%

2%

1%

2%

(n)

(802)

(804)

(810)

(800)

(802)

(809)

January/March 2021 polls did not specifically ask if person already got the vaccine, but included it as a volunteered response.

31.   How likely are you to get a booster shot of the vaccine if it is made available – very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?

Sept.
2021

Very likely

51%

Somewhat likely

16%

Not too likely

6%

Not at all likely

9%

(VOL) Have already gotten one

1%

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

Likely will never get vaccine (from Q30)

17%

(n)

(802)

32.   Do you support or oppose instituting, or reinstituting, face mask and social distancing guidelines in your state at the current time?

   TREND:

Sept.
2021

July
2021

Support

63%

52%

Oppose

34%

46%

(VOL) Depends

2%

n/a

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

2%

(n)

(802)

(804)

33.   Do you support or oppose requiring that face masks be worn by students, teachers, and staff in schools in your state?

Sept.
2021

Support

66%

Oppose

32%

(VOL) Depends

1%

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

(n)

(802)

34.   Do you support or oppose requiring school teachers and staff to get the Covid vaccine?

Sept.
2021

Support

60%

Oppose

36%

(VOL) Depends

3%

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

(n)

(802)

35.   Do you support or oppose requiring children who are age 12 and older to get the Covid vaccine in order to attend school in person?

Sept.
2021

Support

51%

Oppose

44%

(VOL) Depends

3%

(VOL) Don’t know

2%

(n)

(802)

[QUESTIONS 36 – 38 WERE ROTATED]

36.   Do you support or oppose requiring health care workers to get the Covid vaccine?

Sept.
2021

Support

63%

Oppose

36%

(VOL) Depends

1%

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

(n)

(802)

37.   Do you support or oppose requiring federal employees to get the Covid vaccine?

Sept.
2021

Support

58%

Oppose

40%

(VOL) Depends

2%

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

(n)

(802)

38.   Do you support or oppose requiring employees of private contractors who work for the federal government to get the Covid vaccine?

Sept.
2021

Support

55%

Oppose

42%

(VOL) Depends

2%

(VOL) Don’t know

1%

(n)

(802)

39.   Do you support or oppose requiring people to show proof of vaccination in order to participate in the following activities? [ITEMS WERE ROTATED]

Support

Oppose

(VOL) Depends

(VOL) Don’t know

(n)

Dine inside a restaurant

46%

51%

2%

1%

(802)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Go to a gym

50%

49%

1%

1%

(802)

 

 

 

 

 

Fly on a plane

59%

40%

1%

1%

(802)

 

 

 

 

 

Go to an outdoor arena for sports or a concert

46%

52%

1%

1%

(802)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Go to an indoor arena for sports or a concert

55%

44%

1%

0%

(802)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Go to work in an office or setting where they are around other people

53%

45%

2%

1%

(802)

 

 

 

 

 

 

METHODOLOGY

The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from September 9 to 13, 2021 with a national random sample of 802 adults age 18 and older. This includes 281 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 521 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English. Telephone numbers were selected through a mix of random digit dialing and list-based sampling. Landline respondents were selected with a modified Troldahl-Carter youngest adult household screen. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The full sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information (ACS 2018 one-year survey). Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field), Dynata (RDD sample), and Aristotle (list sample). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.

 

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)

Self-Reported

26% Republican

41% Independent

33% Democrat

 

48% Male

52% Female

 

30% 18-34

32% 35-54

38% 55+

 

63% White

12% Black

17% Hispanic

  8% Asian/Other

 

70% No degree

30% 4 year degree

MARGIN OF ERROR

unweighted  sample

moe
(+/-)

TOTAL

 

802

3.5%

REGISTERED VOTER

Yes

747

3.6%

No

55

13.2%

SELF-REPORTED PARTY ID

Republican

194

7.0%

Independent

334

5.4%

Democrat

260

6.1%

IDEOLOGY

Liberal

203

6.9%

Moderate

288

5.8%

Conservative

277

5.9%

GENDER

Male

399

4.9%

Female

403

4.9%

AGE

18-34

139

8.3%

35-54

229

6.5%

55+

424

4.8%

CHILDREN IN HOME

Yes

168

7.6%

No

628

3.9%

RACE

White, non-Hispanic

561

4.1%

Other

219

6.6%

COLLEGE GRADUATE

No degree

416

4.8%

4 year degree

383

5.0%

WHITE COLLEGE

White, no degree

286

5.8%

White, 4 year degree

275

5.9%

INCOME

<$50K

255

6.1%

$50 to <$100K

245

6.3%

$100K+

248

6.2%

2020 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Red state

344

5.3%

Blue state

458

4.6%

Crosstabs may be found in the PDF file on the report webpage:  https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_US_091521/

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